I figure that Nancy Pelosi will soon become speaker, but there are lingering doubts about the majority leadership in the house. I don't like Emanuel, the elections chief who fumbled finding a candidate for my district #11. I personally like John Murtha, the ex-Marine representative because he would be a good combination with Pelosi toward bringing the troops home from Iraq. I also write here about my foreign policy, hoping that the ideas will bring some creative thinking to the situation in Iraq.
What to do about Murtha and Iraq
Dear Representative Pelosi,
Representative Emanuel probably feels that he has done a good job finding candidates at the national level, but this was a year of grassroots candidates, and often a time when the party seems to have stifled grassroots efforts some based upon a national view of the local campaign process. In my district #11 in California for example, where radical right Republican Richard Pombo dearly needs to be removed from office for the benefit of your district and all others in the Bay Area, one would have thought that this is certainly a year when such a corrupt land grabbing owner-developer in California could have been beat. But, the Democratic Party seemed to find ways to support the wrong candidate in the primary, and then seems disinterested in funding a solid fall campaign.
Naturally, I fully expect you to become Speaker, but I also expect that you will help select other leadership based on a pragmatic basis both inside and outside the house. So, from my perspective Emanuel let down the voters of San Joaquin County and district #11. Meanwhile, although I know you have the credentials yourself as a member involved in national security related committees, it seems that you could really use the military brass of John Murtha to counter those like John McCain, in the senate, other men who would like to claim military expertise. I am quite confident that you can enhance the prestige of the house, and that will lobby on behalf of Californian's to include in the next session of congress leadership in the majority Democratic party who can resolve once and for all this foreign adventure quagmire in Iraq.
I have heard you state on occasion that some kind of "time-table" or "phased withdrawal" from Iraq is important to prevent a chaotic collapse of the government there. It would be nice to make a smooth transition, but this doesn't seem likely. Having lived and studied in Saudi Arabia for two years between these gulf wars, I was against the war from the start for the reasons we see on the streets of Bagdad daily now, and I really am not confident that the CIA intelligence has this region any better understood now than they did when the American Embassy was taken by Iranian students a couple decades ago. I'm quite certain that if the blood must flow in civil war, as it did here in the USA, it might as well start sooner than later, and there is little the American military can do to stop it.
Again, you may know better, particularly since you have visited Bagdad, but my personal belief is that a rather quick withdrawal would serve America's interests well. With America gone, Bagdad will likely descend into a chaotic neighborhood mess similar to Beirut of the 1970's, but that this phase will not be so prolonged because the wide open geographical lay-out of the city won't allow so much bunker and trench building, but also because despite the present collapse government and institutions, the commercial value of Bagdad continues to rise. Bagdad will probably partition itself in the short run, but it's vital value as a commercial center between the oil of Kurdistan and the ports of Basra seems to require a relatively fast reconciliation.
While stabilizing forces from neighboring countries may become involved, these will be reluctant forces, and none of will be any more successful than has been the USA. After a military stalemate is achieved, a coalition of Shiite, Kurd, and Sunni factions will come to the bargaining table. Syrian efforts to help Sunni's will likely occur, Turkish incursions to discipline Kurdistan will be an abysmal failure, and Iran arms donations to Shiite militias will not be repaid in political benefits. Bagdad looms very large as a cultural center indeed, unique from its neighbors, and Iraqi politics will be much less susceptible to manipulation as were those of Beirut.
Iran now stages itself in the world limelight by its nuclear ambitions, but will probably put such efforts on relative hold as it become preoccupied financially and militarily with the problems of neighboring Iraq. Right now, the USA is the stabilizing force for Iran, but with ground troops removed, Iran becomes concerned with an opportunity to expand its territory, particularly along the waterways and marshland petrol fields in the disputed Persian gulf area. Naturally, Iran's interest in resuming trade and cultural relations with Iraq, means supporting the Shiite ambitions to take control of Bagdad. These concerns are unrelated to the desire to build a nuclear device, and so conventional military ground forces, small armaments, and short range missiles will rise in value for Iran's strategic efforts, as they had during the Hezbollah conflict with Israel. However, Iran's efforts to manipulate Iraqi politics will fail even more miserably than will Syria's. The 200,000 or so Farsi speaking Shiites are not enough to sway the Arabic speaking Iraqi nationalism of the Shiites of the south, much less the grand cultural center of Bagdad. The Shiites of Tehran are not the same as the Shiites of Bagdad! The notion that these dissimilar groups of Muslim committed forces would agree to work together smoothly defies any recent historical precedent.
While control of the airspace over Iraq by American forces, particularly over the Kurdish region may be desirable given United Nations approval, this rather quick withdrawal will provide an opportunity for quiet dialog with Iran and Syria to appease their real needs to be recognized as growing regional powers. Eventually, military conflict in Bagdad will quiet, and the nation of Iraq will ask for American investment and even cultural influences to return, another loss for Iran's Islamic world view in the long run.
With the Republican's marginalized into a minority that can be beaten by majority vote, this will be the time for Democratic leaders such as yourself to insist that President Bush stop his "state of denial", and bring some pragmatism into American foreign policy. These are likely politics that Representative John Murtha and you can work together to impose upon the Senate and President in public and in private.
Good luck on Nov. 7th.
Respectfully yours,
Alan Tufft
Wednesday, October 18, 2006
Letter to the Stockton Record
With this political campaign season in full swing, my normally thoughtful non-agenda theme of this blog will be altered a bit for awhile. Here's a letter I sent to the Stockton Record today regarding their need to take a stand against re-election of Richard Pombo, representative to California's eleventh district:
Seven term Representative Richard Pombo's record speaks for itself, and it's time for the Record to endorse the other candidate in the race.
It's Time to Endorse McNerney
First, let's consider his self-serving record, one that clearly fails in terms of honest leadership values. As Chairman of the House Resources Committee, Pombo has fought to give government land--old railroad easements---to adjacent land owners, a move that enriched his family's extensive land holdings in the Altamont Pass region--the largest in San Joaquin County. Then, he follows up by advocating that taxpayers purchase some of this land to build another proposed freeway to the Bay Area, a move obviously designed to create a windfall profit for his inherited family fortunes. Pombo has apparently pocketed additional cash through a number of petty office holder loopholes, such as the $5,000 RV vacation paid for at taxpayer expense, and by not so petty donations from out-of-state energy and mining companies and Abramoff related indian gaming and casino interests, the amounts of which are still unclear. Pombo's response at a recent debate with opponent McNerney is that accusations of corruption leveled against him have all been "checked out and he's been cleared every time". It's time that District #11 chose better for itself than re-electing a self-serving landholder who has managed not to be thrown in jail for corruption.
A strong supporter of President Bush, Pombo doesn't mince words as he remains one of the dwindling number of congressman in denial, willing to spend $2 billion per month to occupy civil war driven Iraq as a way to fight the war on terrorism throughout the world. But, Pombo's politics are often even further to the right of the president. He is willing to sell National Forests to help balance the budget, to sell corporate sponsorship of National Parks like Yosemite to "pay for themselves", but remains apparently unwilling or unable as committee chair to ensure proper oversight for proper collection of taxpayer royalties owed private oil companies drilling on public lands.
Pombo's interests have really never been in favor of the rancher and farmers. In the words of former Republican representative Pete McCloskey, “To Pombo and his family, who own hundreds and thousands of acres, it isn’t the farming they’re concerned with, it’s the development of subdivisions”. Pombo's combined political and ranching interests are mostly to protect his electricity generating windmills from endangered species like the San Joaquin kit fox. Despite the fact that Friant Dam near Fresno puts not one drop of water into the San Joaquin River that flows through his district, Pombo has been bent on modifying legislation that would have all but eliminated the possibility of the recent landmark deal between farmers and fisherman that would restore the habitat of the Chinook Salmon. Pombo's vision of San Joaquin County is much different than the residents who live there. For Pombo turning San Joaquin County into an urbanized landscape is fine as long as federal dollars to build more freeways can be secured from Washington. And he apparently believes that maintaining the once mighty San Joaquin River as a drainage ditch for pesticides and fertilizers is just fine. Pombo's future view is anything but the bucolic farmland San Joaquin County once was, and so it's time that he be replaced by the other guy.
It's time for the Stockton Record take a clear stand to vote for the other guy--Jerry McNerney.
Seven term Representative Richard Pombo's record speaks for itself, and it's time for the Record to endorse the other candidate in the race.
It's Time to Endorse McNerney
First, let's consider his self-serving record, one that clearly fails in terms of honest leadership values. As Chairman of the House Resources Committee, Pombo has fought to give government land--old railroad easements---to adjacent land owners, a move that enriched his family's extensive land holdings in the Altamont Pass region--the largest in San Joaquin County. Then, he follows up by advocating that taxpayers purchase some of this land to build another proposed freeway to the Bay Area, a move obviously designed to create a windfall profit for his inherited family fortunes. Pombo has apparently pocketed additional cash through a number of petty office holder loopholes, such as the $5,000 RV vacation paid for at taxpayer expense, and by not so petty donations from out-of-state energy and mining companies and Abramoff related indian gaming and casino interests, the amounts of which are still unclear. Pombo's response at a recent debate with opponent McNerney is that accusations of corruption leveled against him have all been "checked out and he's been cleared every time". It's time that District #11 chose better for itself than re-electing a self-serving landholder who has managed not to be thrown in jail for corruption.
A strong supporter of President Bush, Pombo doesn't mince words as he remains one of the dwindling number of congressman in denial, willing to spend $2 billion per month to occupy civil war driven Iraq as a way to fight the war on terrorism throughout the world. But, Pombo's politics are often even further to the right of the president. He is willing to sell National Forests to help balance the budget, to sell corporate sponsorship of National Parks like Yosemite to "pay for themselves", but remains apparently unwilling or unable as committee chair to ensure proper oversight for proper collection of taxpayer royalties owed private oil companies drilling on public lands.
Pombo's interests have really never been in favor of the rancher and farmers. In the words of former Republican representative Pete McCloskey, “To Pombo and his family, who own hundreds and thousands of acres, it isn’t the farming they’re concerned with, it’s the development of subdivisions”. Pombo's combined political and ranching interests are mostly to protect his electricity generating windmills from endangered species like the San Joaquin kit fox. Despite the fact that Friant Dam near Fresno puts not one drop of water into the San Joaquin River that flows through his district, Pombo has been bent on modifying legislation that would have all but eliminated the possibility of the recent landmark deal between farmers and fisherman that would restore the habitat of the Chinook Salmon. Pombo's vision of San Joaquin County is much different than the residents who live there. For Pombo turning San Joaquin County into an urbanized landscape is fine as long as federal dollars to build more freeways can be secured from Washington. And he apparently believes that maintaining the once mighty San Joaquin River as a drainage ditch for pesticides and fertilizers is just fine. Pombo's future view is anything but the bucolic farmland San Joaquin County once was, and so it's time that he be replaced by the other guy.
It's time for the Stockton Record take a clear stand to vote for the other guy--Jerry McNerney.
Monday, October 16, 2006
Political Junky 2006
This midterm election has me on edge. The Democrats really need a big win in order to take over the House of Representatives, and hopefully, the Senate of the USA's federal government. Normally, I'm more interested in state and local politics, but the Iraq War, the federal budget deficit, and a whole host of "value" issues really need my attention at the national level. For those reading this post, please consider going to the website of Jim Web who is running neck and neck with George Allen, a long time Republican politician in Virginia who's has one of the most conservative voting records even among the Republicans. The state of Virginia and the nation need Allen replaced.
Also, consider a visit to the website of Harold Ford, who is in a toss-up race for the Tennessee Senate race. Americans really would benefit by solid wins in the south where populist politics by the Republicans have created a dangerous shell game of "values" extremism. African-American needs have been almost completely forgotten and brush over with a neo-Anglo morality that is corrupt and marginalizing of other citizens.
Meanwhile, in the center of the nation, the bellweather state of Missouri is also up for grabs. Here, stem cell research is a big issue, and Missouri needs to join the mainstream thinking about this. Go to Claire McCaskill's website and learn about how you can support her grassroots effort there. Similarly, it seems like the entire state of Ohio is up for grabs again, so please stop by the Ohio Democratic Party website.
Keep in mind that Ohio is using in many districts those awful Diebold electronic "black box" voting machines that don't provide a receipt. This can mean real potential for manipulation in a tight race where the losers are Republican incumbents. To illustrate the possibilities, consider the case of a Tennessee precinct where a lawsuit was file after it was learned that illegal and uncertified Lexar Jump Drive software was loaded onto the Diebold GEMS central tabulator, enabling secretive data transfer on small USB "key chain" memory devices. This blocked election transparency and raises questions as to whether hidden vote manipulation may have taken place. It also raises questions as to the privacy of individual ballot information. Since the Republican campaign machine under Carl Rove have built up a huge national database of voter information based upon purchased consumer preference information, there's no telling what the conservatives will do to remain in control of the government.
If you read and agree with the sentiments of this blog, and want to make a sympathy contribution to support the race in my own California district #11, I would be grateful. Here six term Republican Pombo, a certified anti-environmentalist and Abramoff scandal money guy, is in a surprisingly tight race with a Democratic candidate named Jerry McNerny. McNerney is definetly short of cash and Pombo has managed to saturate the television media with ads showing him to be a hard working rancher and businessman--but he's mainly a realestate salesman in the central valley. Until recently, the Stockton Record and KCRA in Sacramento consistently referred to McNerney only as "the challenger" and deleted any reference to his name. In spite of all this, traditionally Republican District #11 appears fed up with Pombo and is beginning to lean McNerney's way. In any case, go to these websites and make a small donation now!
These races are very important for those who want the USA out of Iraq. Even if you were for the war in the beginning, I can assure you that Iraq is virtually guaranteed to descend into civil war, regardless of whether or not the USA stays there. The sooner the USA pulls out, the sooner that process will unfold, and the sooner the USA can return as friends and supporters of whoever wins the military and political contest. For those who fear increased terrorism or expansion of Iran. Don't worry about these things. First, the focus for Iraqi terrorists will be on Iraq, not the USA. Second, Iran, a nation of only slightly larger size and population would be loath to invade Iraq, and in particular, Bagdad. The Shiite population of Iraq share only the religion with Iran, but are separated by language. The Shiites of Iraq are mostly Arabic speaking, and would not want Iran to try any manipulations. Besides, the Syrians, Turkish, and Saudi Arabians are certainly not friends of Iran, and would support Iraqi opposition to such an invasion for sure.
Worried about "cut and run" or "saving face"? Forget it. The USA is still the most respected world leader with no other power even competing for our spot. While Bush is hated, American's are loved--even in the Middle East. But, as long as America exercises the policy of occupation, we can't be improving our relations with such a disturbed nation as Iraq. We want our soldiers to return home and be properly integrated back into society. The last thing this nation needs is another generation of men disturbed by the horrors of war. Besides, this monthly expense of maintaining our soldiers in Iraq is taking away from the retirement plans of the baby boomers of America. Vote Now!
Also, consider a visit to the website of Harold Ford, who is in a toss-up race for the Tennessee Senate race. Americans really would benefit by solid wins in the south where populist politics by the Republicans have created a dangerous shell game of "values" extremism. African-American needs have been almost completely forgotten and brush over with a neo-Anglo morality that is corrupt and marginalizing of other citizens.
Meanwhile, in the center of the nation, the bellweather state of Missouri is also up for grabs. Here, stem cell research is a big issue, and Missouri needs to join the mainstream thinking about this. Go to Claire McCaskill's website and learn about how you can support her grassroots effort there. Similarly, it seems like the entire state of Ohio is up for grabs again, so please stop by the Ohio Democratic Party website.
Keep in mind that Ohio is using in many districts those awful Diebold electronic "black box" voting machines that don't provide a receipt. This can mean real potential for manipulation in a tight race where the losers are Republican incumbents. To illustrate the possibilities, consider the case of a Tennessee precinct where a lawsuit was file after it was learned that illegal and uncertified Lexar Jump Drive software was loaded onto the Diebold GEMS central tabulator, enabling secretive data transfer on small USB "key chain" memory devices. This blocked election transparency and raises questions as to whether hidden vote manipulation may have taken place. It also raises questions as to the privacy of individual ballot information. Since the Republican campaign machine under Carl Rove have built up a huge national database of voter information based upon purchased consumer preference information, there's no telling what the conservatives will do to remain in control of the government.
If you read and agree with the sentiments of this blog, and want to make a sympathy contribution to support the race in my own California district #11, I would be grateful. Here six term Republican Pombo, a certified anti-environmentalist and Abramoff scandal money guy, is in a surprisingly tight race with a Democratic candidate named Jerry McNerny. McNerney is definetly short of cash and Pombo has managed to saturate the television media with ads showing him to be a hard working rancher and businessman--but he's mainly a realestate salesman in the central valley. Until recently, the Stockton Record and KCRA in Sacramento consistently referred to McNerney only as "the challenger" and deleted any reference to his name. In spite of all this, traditionally Republican District #11 appears fed up with Pombo and is beginning to lean McNerney's way. In any case, go to these websites and make a small donation now!
These races are very important for those who want the USA out of Iraq. Even if you were for the war in the beginning, I can assure you that Iraq is virtually guaranteed to descend into civil war, regardless of whether or not the USA stays there. The sooner the USA pulls out, the sooner that process will unfold, and the sooner the USA can return as friends and supporters of whoever wins the military and political contest. For those who fear increased terrorism or expansion of Iran. Don't worry about these things. First, the focus for Iraqi terrorists will be on Iraq, not the USA. Second, Iran, a nation of only slightly larger size and population would be loath to invade Iraq, and in particular, Bagdad. The Shiite population of Iraq share only the religion with Iran, but are separated by language. The Shiites of Iraq are mostly Arabic speaking, and would not want Iran to try any manipulations. Besides, the Syrians, Turkish, and Saudi Arabians are certainly not friends of Iran, and would support Iraqi opposition to such an invasion for sure.
Worried about "cut and run" or "saving face"? Forget it. The USA is still the most respected world leader with no other power even competing for our spot. While Bush is hated, American's are loved--even in the Middle East. But, as long as America exercises the policy of occupation, we can't be improving our relations with such a disturbed nation as Iraq. We want our soldiers to return home and be properly integrated back into society. The last thing this nation needs is another generation of men disturbed by the horrors of war. Besides, this monthly expense of maintaining our soldiers in Iraq is taking away from the retirement plans of the baby boomers of America. Vote Now!
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